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Once more it has been some time since she was seen without her Bandage/Blindfold .. I think she doesn't like the Blue Palace .. or it's inhabitants .. who knows .. ;)
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After all - both Valerica and Serana were hidden away for that very purpose - to Keep them as far from his reach as possible; one even in a pocket of oblivion; the other in a hidden Stone sarcophagus in a forgotten cave .. for centuries or longer; after all Serana has no Memory of there even being an Empire with seat in Cyrodiil .. so from that perspective I honestly doubt it; as I don't see it beyond Harkon to go after Solitude and he makes no attempts whatsoever ..
Since her sidequest revolves around killing Vampires "Close" to Castle Volkihar; given Vanilla Quest; but still - it does suggest she is Aware of Vampire Activity in that Part of the Woods; which in turn would suggest the Vampires in the Area are Aware of her -> Harkon would be Aware -> and in my mind would attempt gaining control over her; if necessary with anything he has at his disposal ..
Edit: what I could see on the other Hand is her being a "covert ops" Agent for Harkon - a pure blooded; turned by Harkon; which would suggest more control aswell; but not make her "vital" to the Prophecy he is after; so much so that he shattered his own Family over it ..
Now; as I see it; the clan isn't really relevant for Daughters as in theory all of them are Clan Matrons - their blood Comes directly from Molag; so whatever clan they might have belonged to previously (as in kyns case) is irrelevant - they are now daughters, nothing else; as they don't have any other "Ancestors" in their particular bloodline apart from Molag himself.
I do assume that with some Training they might be able to hide most of their Daughter Abilities ; but than I do assume Molag himself would always be able to track them down; at least in such a Situation where she is living in the "open" - which could be seen as another way Harkon could have found her; as I assume Molag is in favor of what Harkon wants as a true Vampire rule over skyrim/tamriel would make him more powerful aswell and therefore might have given Harkon the "last Chance" hint that she is hiding there.
So I still doubt that she is a Daughter - I would say possibly Pure Blooded (much like the Player is pure blooded when joining the Vampires in DG) but not Daughter - at least not in my mind. Of course I could be wrong there; but those are my thoughts - I find it highly unlikely that she would have been able to avoid detection for so Long; when even Valerica and Serana; argueably two of the strongest Daughters known choose hiding as far away/protected as possible instead of Standing their ground together ..
Also I do not think Molag cares in the least bit about Harkon and his plans. Harkon's plans are both good and bad for vampires after all.
Molag certainly makes no attempt to stop Valerica or Serana from stopping Harkon after all.
I also think that vampire at the BP is a very powerful mage as well. Also very long lived. One might think she could have found a spell or artifact that could help hide her.
Or even ambush her on the Road; as her own dialogue suggests that she wasn't present when Ulfric killed the High King; which does suggest she leaves Solitude from time to time - during one of those it would be quite easy for Harkon/'s Court to take her by force .. in my opinion.
Edit: something else coming to mind; which could (very loosely) be seen as a Connection - the Vampire in Morthal - Alva - seems to be in control enough to fool the whole town aswell - which suggests to me that "any" Vampire can control their bloodlust in a way; if possibly only for a limited period of time - so I think it is not necessary that the Court Mage is anything apart from an old "normal" Vampire - as she doesn't specificly states what she has done while being away during the High Kings murder - she could very well have been feeding to "buy" more time in "disguse" as a docile Vampire ..
And I disagree - I think Molag cares about it; but doesn't intervene - after all; his own "morals" are the "strong survive and can do what they want; the weak are punished for their weakness" - overly simplified; but that is what it boils down to - so why would he intervene when the "stronger" serana/valerica/Player Combo defeats Harkon .. he wouldn't. But I think he would like to see Harkon succeed - as it could potentially mean that all the vampires; even the non Volkihar ones; could walk the world at day - meaning coming out of their Caves and spreading - and in such a Event I personally think the Response time of the "humans" would be too slow; I think.
take for example my CW Status in Kyn's Story- most of the map is Imperial control; only eastmarch is Stormcloak - now; that means Stormcloak Forces are mostly focused in Eastmarch; apart from small hidden segments - Imperial Forces; apart from the "lowest necessary" garrison will be focused at the borders of Eastmarch to Keep the Stormcloaks there .. now; if in such an Event the Vampires from the Cave Close to Morthal would come out and attack the Town openly; with not having to worry about the day .. Morthal would most likely fall before any Forces would reach it; if word of it would even reach the outside world .. and that might be the case for many Settlements .. Rorikstead being another example with two Vampire Den's "Close by" .. and if the vampires don't turn the People living there; but kill them .. they still can use them as undead thralls - which means a few Settlements that fall quickly mean exponential growth in fighting force for the Vampires ..
which; in my mind means the Response that might eventually be mounted will face a somewhat organized and not to small fighting force ready to take them on. After all; vampires might be evil; they might be even driven to the brink of madness by their Bloodlust - but they are still thinking beings which means they can contain a Basic Level of organization; which means with undead "soldiers" they have more than enough means to oppose a war torn Skyrim; possibly even the other provinces with time..
which in turns means; all vampires that exist have a reasonable Chance to prove they are stronger; and therefore a reasonable Chance to increase Molag's Influence on Skyrim/Tamriel .. which in turn means .. he won't openly Support Harkon; as that would go against his "power to the strong; punishment to the weak" morals - but he would like to see him succeed; and therefore might even be willing to grant that "last Chance" hint - more or less: f*#@ this up and I will crush you ;get her and I will reward you Kind of deal ..
To add to that; during the end parts of the Vampire Side Quests; you are asked to turn some People into Vampires as spies and Hideout keepers throughout Skyrim .. if my Memory serves me; and I might be wrong there; that Person in Solitude is the Maid in the BP; can't recall the Name .. the one that always dreams about traveling with you ..and that can grant you acess to the Pelagius Wing .. which in turn would suggest that Harkon's Court (can't recall who gives the quest atm) is Aware that somewhere in the BP there is already Vampire Presence tolerated - or else that would be way too risky..
Of course all of this are only my personal thoughts on the Matter; but for me it is just unlikely that she is a daughter ..
Unlike the Imperial vs Stormcloak debate, which you convinced me to stay with the Imperials, I remain very much unconvinced here I am afraid. To me it seems reasonable that she could remain hidden or known as a vampire but not known as a TB and hence of no interest to Harkon - who doesn't seem to get out and about much anyhow.
Also there is the point a few folks make in-game that if the sun goes out everything dies - and then no food for the vampires. I think Valerica points out a few other problems with Harkon's plan in general. No vampires need food and work best in the shadows. In an all out war against the vampires they are outnumbered ... although that on its own is not enough as they can turn people. There is still the balance of food. Yet I suspect other powerful forces might intervene should the sun go out ... hard to say.
Granted Molag may be perfectly find with everyone on Nirn dead and he can turn it into another cold harbour. yet I remain unconvinced that he is really on Harkons side in this.
So I say Food isn't a Problem; it is a strength for them (at least for the Volkihar/Skyrim strains of Vampirism - as they would be at their strongest without Blood; and the removal of Food over time would make their Fight against the non-Vampires easier - their human enemies would run out of ressources while they only would grow stronger..) And the other Vampire Clans that Need blood would weaken aswell; meaning Volkihar/Skyrim Vamps would be the strongest Clans around and therefore could; if needed; take over.
To add to the Food Thing - the Falmer; technically speaking; are Elves that mutated over time and through poison as far as I know - and can survive in total darkness without sunlight from their Chaurus and Mushroom - so I say Vamps could adapt; feeding from them instead of Surface Dwellers - which would render the Food Argument completely invalid - as Falmer Blood is "digestable" for Vamps; as far as I'm Aware.
So all in all I think Molag has "possibly" good will for Harkon's Goals as Harkon would not only have a shot at proving that Vampires are Stronger; but even that the Volkihar Clan / Skyrim Vamps in particular are the strongest - and any Kind of Domination in that manner I see as "pleasing" for Molag .. But concerning the Court Mage of Solitude I think both is possible; I just find it very unlikely that a Daughter could hide herself in such a Situation and closeness to Castle Volkihar for so Long; especially in her "clumsy" Approach to it - not wearing a mask or closed helmet/Hood - not hiding her full magical potential from other mages in the area; even going so far that a High Elf notices her exceptional Talent and thinks she is way above Breton Levels.
Than again; Valerica basically is hiding right inside Castle Volkihar .. technically speaking; as the Portal is inside the Castle... so there could be a Point made for it ..
In any Event; I think this one has far too many variables to come to a "100% conclusion" - I personally think it could very well be possible; but I see it as rather to very unlikely that she is a daughter